Pre-tourney Rankings
Central Arkansas
Southland
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.5#324
Expected Predictive Rating-10.6#310
Pace81.8#9
Improvement-2.9#274

Offense
Total Offense-6.9#311
Improvement-4.4#333

Defense
Total Defense-5.6#315
Improvement+1.6#94
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 64   @ Stanford L 52-91 3%     0 - 1 -28.2 -14.5 -12.8
  Nov 13, 2011 293   @ Sacramento St. L 54-75 23%     0 - 2 -25.6 -16.3 -11.5
  Nov 26, 2011 299   Eastern Illinois W 107-96 2OT 49%     1 - 2 -1.2 +2.1 -5.9
  Nov 30, 2011 334   @ Tennessee Martin W 75-68 44%     2 - 2 -4.1 -9.6 +5.1
  Dec 05, 2011 230   Southeast Missouri St. W 88-72 30%     3 - 2 +8.9 +1.6 +6.0
  Dec 10, 2011 193   @ Arkansas St. L 64-71 10%     3 - 3 -5.3 -12.3 +7.4
  Dec 19, 2011 91   @ Iowa L 64-105 3%     3 - 4 -32.2 -18.3 -6.7
  Dec 21, 2011 130   @ Drake L 64-87 5%     3 - 5 -17.1 -5.3 -11.3
  Dec 28, 2011 26   @ UNLV L 75-124 1%     3 - 6 -34.0 -2.6 -22.9
  Jan 07, 2012 102   @ Lamar L 67-103 4%     3 - 7 0 - 1 -27.9 -12.4 -10.3
  Jan 11, 2012 161   Stephen F. Austin L 56-67 18%     3 - 8 0 - 2 -13.9 -11.2 -3.3
  Jan 14, 2012 226   @ Northwestern St. W 77-73 12%     4 - 8 1 - 2 +4.0 -2.2 +5.8
  Jan 18, 2012 326   Nicholls St. W 99-76 63%     5 - 8 2 - 2 +7.0 +2.4 +2.0
  Jan 21, 2012 102   Lamar L 78-92 10%     5 - 9 2 - 3 -12.7 -0.7 -11.0
  Jan 25, 2012 297   @ SE Louisiana L 71-75 OT 24%     5 - 10 2 - 4 -9.2 -3.8 -5.0
  Jan 29, 2012 209   @ McNeese St. L 76-87 11%     5 - 11 2 - 5 -10.0 -3.2 -5.8
  Feb 01, 2012 226   Northwestern St. L 68-79 29%     5 - 12 2 - 6 -17.8 -11.2 -5.7
  Feb 04, 2012 108   Texas Arlington L 61-69 11%     5 - 13 2 - 7 -7.3 -15.6 +9.0
  Feb 08, 2012 259   @ Texas St. L 63-94 17%     5 - 14 2 - 8 -33.4 -20.7 -8.5
  Feb 11, 2012 209   McNeese St. L 56-71 26%     5 - 15 2 - 9 -20.8 -19.5 -1.5
  Feb 15, 2012 270   @ Sam Houston St. L 59-76 18%     5 - 16 2 - 10 -19.8 -15.7 -2.6
  Feb 18, 2012 185   @ Louisiana Tech L 62-84 9%     5 - 17 -19.9 -13.4 -5.2
  Feb 22, 2012 326   @ Nicholls St. L 70-80 37%     5 - 18 2 - 11 -19.2 -11.7 -7.6
  Feb 25, 2012 297   SE Louisiana W 64-63 48%     6 - 18 3 - 11 -11.0 -14.2 +3.1
  Feb 29, 2012 171   Texas San Antonio L 60-73 20%     6 - 19 3 - 12 -16.7 -17.3 +1.0
  Mar 03, 2012 306   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 65-67 28%     6 - 20 3 - 13 -8.5 -7.8 -0.6
Projected Record 6.0 - 20.0 3.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13 100.0% 100.0
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%